Dagaalka Awoodda Bulshada Hiiraan ayaa Khatar Gelinaya Qalalaasaha Hirshabelle

Codsiga Hawadle ee Madaxweynenimada Hirshabelle ayaa la kulmay Taageerada Hassan Sheikh ee Madaxweynaha Abgaal Ali Guudlaawe

BELEDWEYNE (WDN) — Krisiinta Hirshabelle ayaa si xawli ah u noqoneysa dagaal ku saabsan awoodda siyaasadeed, iyadoo bulshada Hawadle ay dalbaneyso madaxweynenimada gobolka halka Madaxweynaha Hassan Sheikh Mohamud uu taageeray Madaxweynaha xilka haya Ali Abdullahi Hussein Guudlaawe, oo ah siyaasi Abgaal, si uu mar kale u tartamo.

Khilaafka ayaa ka fogaanaya tartan doorasho oo caadi ah. Hogaamiyeyaasha siyaasadeed iyo odayaasha Hawadle ayaa sheegay inay filayeen in madaxweynenimada ay ku soo laaban doonto bulshada iyada oo loo marayo heshiis aan rasmi ahayn oo awood wadaag ah, laakiin Madaxweynaha Hassan Sheikh ugu dambeyntii wuxuu taageeray Guudlaawe. Madaxweyne ku xigeenka Hirshabelle Yusuf Hagar Dabageed ayaa si dadweyne u eedeeyay madaxweynaha inuu jebiyay heshiiskaas.

Iska horimaadka ayaa hadda ku faafay deegaanka siyaasadeed iyo amniga Hiiraan. Hogaamiyeyaasha Hawadle ayaa diiday doorashada la qorsheeyay iyada oo aan heshiis siyaasadeed hore loo gaarin, halka odayaashu ay u dhaqaaqeen inay ka hortagaan mas'uuliyiinta Hirshabelle iyo diyaaradaha inay ka hawlgalaan garoomada diyaaradaha ee Hiiraan ilaa cabashooyinkooda la xalliyo.

Al-Shabaab sidoo kale waxay sheegtay inay gaartay heshiis la leh odayaasha Hawadle ee Maxaas si loo soo afjaro sanado dagaal. Heshiiska la sheegay ma ahan mid si madax-bannaan loo xaqiijiyay, waxaana caddeyn la'aan ah in odayaasha ku lugta leh ay matalaan bulshada Hawadle ee ballaaran. Laakiin soo ifbixitaankeedu xilli khilaaf siyaasadeed oo xooggan la leh Muqdisho ayaa siinaya horumarkaasi muhiimad weyn.

Macawisly militia

Khilaaf Madaxweynenimo oo leh Cawaaqib Ballaaran

Khilaafka degdega ah wuxuu ku saabsan yahay cidda hogaamin doonta Hirshabelle. Hogaamiyayaasha Hawadle waxay ku doodayaan in matalaadda siyaasadeed iyo wadaagga awoodda ay tahay in la xalliyo ka hor inta aan doorasho la qaban. Taageerada Madaxweynaha Xasan Sheekh ee Guudlaawe ayaa sidaas darteed loo fasiray inay tahay ka leexasho faham siyaasadeed oo hore.

Isla waqtigaas, bulshada Hawadle ma ahan mid siyaasadeed oo mideysan. Golaha siyaasadeed ee Hawadle oo madax ka ah madaxweynihii hore ee Hirshabelle, Cali Cabdullaahi Osoble, ayaa taageeray Guudlaawe iyo ka qaybgalka doorashada.

Qaybintaas ayaa muhiim ah. Isku dhaca waa in aan lagu soo bandhigin sidii haddii dhammaan hogaamiyayaasha Hawadle ay haystaan ​​meel isku mid ah.

Laakiin baaxadda mucaaradka ayaa muhiim ah. Odayaasha iyo siyaasiyiinta Hawadle ayaa dalbaday xallin siyaasadeed, waxaana mudaharaadyo ka dhacay Beledweyne ay diideen doorasho aan heshiis laga gaarin matalaadda iyo wadaagga awoodda.

Arrinta Al-Shabaab

Bulshooyinka Hawadle waxay ka mid ahaayeen xoogagii ugu muhiimsanaa ee maxalliga ah ee dagaalka ka dhanka ah Al-Shabaab intii lagu jiray weerarkii Macawisley ee 2022. Dagaalyahannada maxalliga ah, oo la shaqeynaya ciidamada dowladda Soomaaliya, ayaa ka caawiyay in Al-Shabaab laga saaro aagag ballaaran oo bartamaha Soomaaliya ah.

Laakiin guulahaas ma ahayn kuwo joogto ah. Al-Shabaab ayaa markii dambe dib u helay dhul, halka dagaalka dheer uu culays weyn saaray bulshooyinka ka qayb qaatay dagaalka.

Fahamka la soo sheegay ee Maxaas ayaa sidaas darteed keenaya su'aal culus: maxaa dhacaya marka bulsho mar hore la dagaallantay Al-Shabaab ay bilaabato inay raadsato heshiisyo maxalli ah oo ay la yeelato kooxda iyadoo isla mar ahaantaas la wajahaysa dowladda federaalka ee ku saabsan matalaadda siyaasadeed?

Al-Shabaab ayaa horey u raadsatay heshiisyo la leh qabiilo iyo qabiilo-hoosaadyo maxalli ah marka ay heshiisyadu u adeegaan danahooda. Isfaham la mid ah oo ku saabsan qaybaha Hawadle ayaa la soo sheegay sanadkii 2023.

Horumarka ugu dambeeyay sidaas darteed si otomaatig ah looma fasiri karo sidii iskaashi Hawadle iyo Al-Shabaab. Taa beddelkeeda waxay muujin kartaa isku-darka walaacyada amniga maxalliga ah, niyad-jabka siyaasadeed iyo daal dagaal.

Krisiis Siyaasadeed oo Noqonaysa Khatar Amni

Muqdisho, khatarta ayaa ah in khilaaf ku saabsan madaxweynaha Hirshabelle uu si tartiib tartiib ah u noqon karo wax ka weyn.

Dowladda federaalka waxay wajahaysaa doorasho sii adkaaneysa: inay horey u socoto doorasho ay diidan yihiin shaqsiyaad muhiim ah oo Hawadle ah, ama dib u furto wadahadalada ku saabsan heshiiska siyaasadeed iyo qaabeynta awoodda. Horumarka Al-Shabaab ayaa ku daraya degdegsiimo doorashadan.

Su'aasha dhexe ma aha kaliya cidda noqon doonta madaxweynaha Hirshabelle. Waxay tahay in dagaalka ku saabsan awoodda siyaasadeed uu sii qoto-dheeraado kalsooni-darrada bulsho oo horey u bixisay qiimo culus oo la dagaallamaysa Al-Shabaab — iyo in ay abuurto meel cusub oo kooxda hubeysan ay ka faa'iidaysan karto.

Haddii khilaafaadka siyaasadeed ay sii socdaan iyada oo aan heshiis la gaarin, Al-Shabaab uma baahna inay si milatari u guulaysato ka dhanka ah mucaaradkeedii hore. Waxay sugi kartaa oo kaliya niyad-jabka siyaasadeed, amni-darrada iyo daalka inay qabtaan shaqada.

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